Putin has moved his armies to reinforce Kherson in response to the build up of Ukrainian forces. In so doing he has weakened Izium south east of Kharkiv.
Sun Tzu wrote ‘when an enemy retreats advance’. Yesterday Ukrainian forces made a successful, broad front attack north towards Izium to threaten the city.
Now Putin must decide whether to turn his army around and return it to Izium, or to lose Izium to defend Kherson. He knows Ukraine is readying itself to retake Kherson, so, perhaps he intends to strike first in the hope of breaking up those preparations.
The clever General will win the next phase of this war. Advancing on Izium is a bold and intelligent move, it forces Putin onto the back foot. I anticipate a concentration of forces soon that will thrust forward towards Kherson and the Dnipro River. However, this is what everyone expects, perhaps a cleverer man than me has other ideas.
There are eight weeks of good weather left before the rain and mud return. Both sides need a decisive victory before then but the greatest pressure in on Putin. When tyrants fail they usually die.
Pray for Ukraine and its soldiers and remind all political leaders to continue with all the support they can provide. Ukrainian soldiers fight for freedom today so that we don’t have to fight for freedom tomorrow.
Let the World to Hear Us!
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