INSTITUTE FOR STUDY OF WAR UPDATES
2 min read
27 June 2022: Here are the key takeaways from this evening’s Ukraine update from the Institute for the Study of War. (I also want to highlight the very important statement by the G7 leaders meeting today in Germany, which included this pledge: “We will continue to provide financial, humanitarian, military and diplomatic support and stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes.”)
The ISW key points:
— A Russian missile strike hit a shopping mall in a residential area of Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast on June 27, likely killing many civilians. Ukrainian sources stated that over 1,000 civilians were inside the mall at the time of the strike, and officials are still clarifying the number of casualties
— The Kremenchuk strike follows a wider intensification of Russian missile strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure and civilian targets in recent days. Advisor to the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs Vadym Denisenko stated on June 26 that Russian forces have begun a campaign of massive and largely indiscriminate missile strikes against Ukrainian cities.
— Russian military authorities continue to seek ways to replenish their increasingly exhausted force capabilities without announcing general mobilization. An unnamed senior US defense official stated on June 27 that Russian forces are likely running low on senior military leaders and are relying more heavily on retired officers and reserves to replace officer casualties.
— The UK Ministry of Defense similarly reported that Russian forces will likely rely heavily on reserve echelons, namely the Combat Army Reserve and Human Mobilization Resource, in order to galvanize volunteer support and fill out the third battalion tactical group (BTG) within regular (and depleted) brigades.
— Russian forces made incremental advances southwest of Lysychansk near the T1302 Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway but have not entirely severed Ukrainian lines of communication into Bakhmut.
— Russian forces made measured advances during offensive operations to the east of Bakhmut.
— Ukrainian forces repelled Russian offensives north of Slovyansk.
— Russian forces made limited and localized attacks along contested frontlines around Kharkiv City but did not make any advances on June 27.
— Ukrainian counteroffensives along the Southern Axis continue to force Russian troops to prioritize defensive operations along the line of contact.
— Russian occupation authorities are taking steps to strengthen economic control of occupied territories and force Ukrainian civilians to switch to the ruble.

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